NCAA Basketball - Rankings for Selection Sunday

2014/15 Season

This table contain current rankings for the 2014/15 season. These are based on regular season results, and compare each team's win-loss record with a benchmark expected number of wins for their schedule (which we call their strength of schedule). Rankings are based on the difference in wins and expected number of wins.

To predict which teams will get bids, until conference champions are known we assume that the highest ranked team in each conference will win their respective conference. Of the remaining teams, the top 36 ranked teams would then warrant an at-large bid. The predicted seedings are also shown.

There is uncertainty with the estimate of the strength of schedule for each team, quantified by a margin of error. All teams whose win-loss record is within the margin of error of their strength of schedule should be considered as borderline for the championship.

Click on the first 200 teams to see their schedule, and a breakdown of the strength of schedule in terms of expected wins (probability of winning) per game.

2014/15 Season: Rankings for Selection Sunday

Margin of error: 0.8 wins.

RankTeamW-LSOSSeed
* Kentucky 34-020.11
* Wisconsin 31-3191
* Villanova 32-220.41
1 Duke 29-418.21
2 Virginia 29-318.82
3 Kansas 26-815.52
* Arizona 31-321.72
* Iowa State 25-816.73
* Notre Dame 29-520.53
* Gonzaga 31-222.82
4 Maryland 27-619.44
5 Baylor 23-916.53
6 Louisville 24-817.84
7 North Carolina 24-1117.34
8 Oklahoma 22-1016.13
9 West Virginia 23-917.85
* Northern Iowa 30-325.25
10 Georgetown 21-1016.94
11 Arkansas 26-821.55
12 Butler 22-1018.16
13 Michigan State 23-1118.97
14 Utah 23-819.35
15 Providence 22-1118.26
16 Wichita State 27-423.47
17 Oregon 24-920.58
18 Iowa 21-11187
19 Ohio State 23-1020.110
20 St. John's 20-1117.39
* Virginia Commonw 26-922.97
* Southern Methodi 26-623.26
21 Georgia 21-1118.710
22 Texas 20-1317.711
23 Purdue 21-1218.99
24 Davidson 23-721.210
25 Oklahoma State 17-1315.49
26 Xavier 21-1319.26
27 San Diego State 25-823.58
28 Dayton 25-823.711
29 North Carolina S 20-1318.78
30 Brigham Young 23-921.811
31 Colorado State 26-624.9
32 LSU 22-10219
33 Miami (FL) 21-1220
* Stephen F. Austi 26-425.412
34 Indiana 20-1319.410
35 UCLA 20-1319.511
36 Texas A&M 20-1119.9
37 Boise State 23-82311
38 Illinois 19-1319
39 Mississippi 20-1220.211
* Valparaiso 25-525.213
* Wofford 26-626.312
40 Syracuse 18-1318.4
41 Temple 23-1023.5
42 Murray State 25-525.5
43 Saint Mary's 20-920.5
44 Stanford 19-1319.6
45 Tulsa 22-922.8
46 Rhode Island 21-921.9
* Buffalo 23-92412
47 TCU 18-1519.3
48 Kansas State 15-1716.2
49 Alabama 17-1418.2
50 Cincinnati 22-1023.38
51 Michigan 15-1616.3
52 Pittsburgh 18-1419.5
53 Old Dominion 24-725.5
* Wyoming 23-924.612
54 Minnesota 17-1518.7
55 UC Davis 23-624.6
56 Green Bay 22-823.7
57 George Washingto 21-1223
* Harvard 20-721.613
58 Vanderbilt 18-1319.9
59 Louisiana Tech 24-826
60 Florida 16-1718.1
61 Seton Hall 16-1518.2
62 Penn State 18-1620.7
63 Iona 26-828.7
64 Central Michigan 20-822.2
65 Tennessee 16-1618.6
66 South Carolina 16-1618.7
67 California 18-1521
68 Clemson 16-1518.8
69 Connecticut 20-1423.1
70 North Carolina C 22-724.9
71 Florida State 17-1620.3
72 Arizona State 17-1520.3
73 Richmond 19-1322.3
* Eastern Washingt 23-826.313
* Georgia State 23-926.514
74 Yale 20-1023.4
75 Illinois State 20-1223.6
76 Northwestern 15-1718.6
* Albany 24-827.714
77 UTEP 22-1025.8
78 Pepperdine 17-1320.6
79 Oregon State 16-1419.6
80 Sam Houston Stat 21-824.7
81 Marquette 13-1917.2
82 Bowling Green 20-1024
83 Washington 16-1520.2
* Texas Southern 22-1226.715
84 Kent State 20-1124.3
* Northeastern 23-1127.814
85 Massachusetts 17-1521.7
86 Toledo 20-1324.9
* North Dakota Sta 21-925.515
87 Nebraska 13-1817.9
* New Mexico State 21-1025.915
88 Texas Tech 13-1918
89 Stony Brook 21-1126.1
90 Creighton 14-1919.3
91 Colorado 15-1720.1
* Belmont 21-102615
92 UNLV 17-1522.2
* UC Irvine 19-1224.113
93 High Point 19-923.6
94 Memphis 18-1423.4
95 St. Bonaventure 18-1323.2
96 South Dakota Sta 21-1026.3
97 Boston College 13-1918.5
98 Wake Forest 13-1918.6
* North Florida 20-1125.416
99 Rider 21-1126.7
100 La Salle 17-1623
101 Loyola (IL) 17-1322.4
102 Chattanooga 20-1025.5
103 Western Kentucky 18-1223.5
104 Evansville 18-1223.5
105 Western Michigan 18-1323.7
106 Georgia Southern 19-924.2
107 Auburn 14-2020.3
108 Florida Gulf Coa 19-1024.4
* Coastal Carolina 20-925.516
109 Akron 20-1426.5
110 Georgia Tech 12-1917.9
111 UC Santa Barbara 17-1322.7
112 William & Mary 18-1223.8
113 Long Beach State 14-1720.1
114 Eastern Michigan 17-1323
115 Portland 15-1521
116 San Diego 14-1620.1
117 Utah State 17-1323.1
118 Washington State 13-1819.4
119 Hawaii 20-1326.9
120 Eastern Kentucky 17-1123
121 DePaul 12-2019
122 James Madison 19-1326.2
* UAB 18-1525.514
123 St. Francis (NY) 22-1129.6
124 North Carolina-W 17-1323.9
125 Cleveland State 16-1423
* Lafayette 19-1226.416
126 Radford 18-1124.9
127 USC Upstate 19-1126.3
128 Northwestern Sta 15-1221.5
* Manhattan 19-1326.916
129 Charleston South 16-1122.7
130 Oakland 14-1621.5
131 Montana 18-1225.5
132 Rutgers 10-2218.1
133 Norfolk State 18-1325.9
134 Sacramento State 18-1125.5
135 Louisiana-Monroe 17-1224.6
136 Tennessee-Martin 16-1223.3
137 Hofstra 20-1328.6
138 N.J.I.T. 14-1120.5
139 Incarnate Word 14-1020.3
140 Middle Tennessee 18-1627
141 Mississippi Stat 12-1920.3
142 New Mexico 15-1623.4
* Robert Morris 19-1427.916
143 USC 12-2020.7
144 Virginia Tech 11-2220.1
145 Alabama State 17-1024.4
146 Bucknell 18-1426.8
147 Santa Clara 12-1820.3
148 Monmouth 18-1527.2
149 Gardner-Webb 16-1424.5
150 Maryland-Eastern 18-1427.2
151 San Francisco 13-1821.9
152 Northern Arizona 18-1427.2
153 New Hampshire 17-1225.4
154 Louisiana-Lafaye 17-1325.8
155 Indiana State 14-1622.8
156 Missouri 8-2317.1
157 Oral Roberts 16-1424.8
158 Saint Joseph's 13-1822.3
159 Northern Illinoi 13-1621.7
160 Tulane 14-1623.1
161 Texas A&M-CC 17-1326.2
162 Eastern Illinois 15-1423.9
163 Vermont 17-1326.4
164 Canisius 16-1425.4
165 Fresno State 13-1722.4
166 Charlotte 14-1824.1
167 Princeton 15-1424.2
168 Mercer 16-1525.9
169 Texas-Arlington 15-1524.6
170 American Univers17-1627.6
171 Lehigh 15-1424.6
172 Mount St. Mary's15-1524.9
173 Winthrop 16-1325.6
174 Milwaukee 12-1621.4
175 Dartmouth 14-1423.5
176 Grand Canyon 15-1424.9
177 East Tennessee S14-1423.6
178 Detroit 13-1823.7
179 Delaware State 16-1727.5
180 Air Force 12-1722.1
181 Bryant Universit16-1526.8
182 Morehead State 15-1726.2
183 Cal Poly 11-1620.5
184 St. Francis (PA)15-1525.7
185 IPFW 13-1422.7
186 East Carolina 12-1923.2
187 South Dakota 15-1626.2
188 Colgate 15-1726.6
189 North Texas 12-1722.6
190 UC Riverside 12-1722.6
191 Southern Univers15-1726.8
192 Duquesne 11-1922.1
193 Houston 13-1924.8
194 Columbia 12-1522
195 Quinnipiac 15-1526.2
196 FIU 14-1725.5
197 Miami (OH) 12-1923.7
198 Pacific 9-1919.6
199 Portland State 13-1423.4
200 St. Peter's 16-1829.2
201 Army 14-1525.3
* Hampton 16-1728.916
202 Lamar 11-1521.2
203 Western Carolina13-1724.8
204 Hartford 13-1624.5
205 Prairie View A&M14-1826.7
206 UCF 11-1822.5
207 Cornell 12-1723.5
208 Fordham 9-2121.1
209 Northern Colorad13-1524.3
210 Holy Cross 13-1624.7
211 Seattle 14-1525.7
212 Elon 13-1825.6
213 Saint Louis 10-2122.7
214 Texas-San Antoni12-1623.5
215 George Mason 8-2220.4
216 Howard 13-1625.1
217 McNeese State 11-1622.3
218 Boston Universit12-1724.2
219 Appalachian Stat12-1724.2
220 Loyola Marymount7-2319.7
221 Drexel 11-1823.3
222 Brown 11-1823.4
223 Sacred Heart 14-1727.3
224 Northern Kentuck11-1723.1
225 Ohio 10-2023
226 Mass Lowell 11-1723.1
227 Lipscomb 11-1723.1
228 Denver 12-1825.1
229 Southern Illinoi11-2125.1
230 Southeast Missou11-1723.3
231 North Carolina-A12-1624.4
232 Texas State 11-1723.4
233 Weber State 11-1723.4
234 Missouri State 9-2022
235 Arkansas-Little 12-1825.6
236 Navy 12-1926.1
237 Rice 10-1923.3
238 Drake 8-2221.9
239 Long Island 12-1826
240 Nebraska Omaha 11-1724.1
241 UMKC 12-1926.6
242 Loyola (MD) 11-1925.1
243 South Florida 8-2322.6
244 SIU Edwardsville10-1622.3
245 Towson 11-2025.7
246 Delaware 10-2024.3
247 Arkansas-Pine Bl12-2027.3
248 Idaho 11-1724.4
249 Samford 12-1926.8
250 Pennsylvania 9-1922.4
251 Marshall 9-2123.5
252 Wright State 9-2023.1
253 Arkansas State 10-1823.6
254 IUPUI 10-2125.1
255 Tennessee Tech 10-1823.7
256 Siena 11-2026.4
257 Jacksonville Sta10-1924.5
258 Bradley 8-2424.1
259 Cal State Bakers11-1926.2
260 Houston Baptist 8-1620.3
261 Charleston 9-2426
262 South Alabama 10-2125.9
263 Virginia Militar9-1923.5
264 Nevada 7-2222
265 Southern Miss 7-2021
266 Youngstown State8-2123.2
267 New Orleans 8-1821.6
268 Cal State Northr7-2423.3
269 Utah Valley 9-1923.8
270 Ball State 6-2321.5
271 Illinois-Chicago8-2425.2
272 Jackson State 11-2128.2
273 Furman 9-2225.8
274 Wagner 9-2024.7
275 Southern Utah 9-1924.2
276 Niagara 8-2224.4
277 Nicholls State 7-1921.3
278 Florida Atlantic7-2022.1
279 Troy 8-1923.1
280 Cal State Fuller7-2223.3
281 Coppin State 7-2323.9
282 Citadel 8-1923.2
283 Kennesaw State 8-2225
284 South Carolina S9-2226.6
285 Southeastern Lou8-2325.8
286 Savannah State 7-2223.7
287 Alabama A&M 8-2024.2
288 Longwood 9-2327.7
289 UNC Greensboro 8-2225.7
290 Texas-Pan Americ7-2123.8
291 Fairleigh Dickin7-2123.8
292 North Dakota 6-2222.9
293 Austin Peay 6-2223
294 Fairfield 7-2426
295 Western Illinois6-2021.9
296 Jacksonville 7-2224.8
297 Abilene Christia7-2124.2
298 North Carolina A7-2325.5
299 Morgan State 7-2426.2
300 Bethune-Cookman 9-2127.6
301 Campbell 7-2225
302 Chicago State 5-2423.1
303 Montana State 6-2324.3
304 Presbyterian 6-2223.8
305 Marist 7-2527.4
306 Stetson 6-2223.9
307 Binghamton 5-2524.5
308 Mississippi Vall6-2626.9
309 Tennessee State 3-2623.1
310 Alcorn State 5-2526
311 UMBC 4-2625.1
312 Idaho State 5-2324.8
313 Maine 3-2724.2
314 Central Connecti5-2627.3
315 Liberty 4-2425.1
316 San Jose State 0-2821.2
317 Central Arkansas2-2725.4
318 Florida A&M 2-2725.7
319 Grambling State 0-2722.4

Key

Rank: Rank ignoring conference champions. Conference champions denoted by *.

SOS: Strength of schedule, quantified in expected number of wins.

Colouring

SHADED BACKGROUND: suggested teams for at-large bid.

RED FONT: Teams within margin of error.

BOLD UPPERCASE: Teams receiving bids.

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