NCAA Basketball - Rankings for Selection Sunday

2013/14 Season

This table contain current rankings for the 2013/14 season. These are based on regular season results, and compare each team's win-loss record with a benchmark expected number of wins for their schedule (which we call their strength of schedule). Rankings are based on the difference in wins and expected number of wins.

To predict which teams will get bids, until conference champions are known we assume that the highest ranked team in each conference will win their respective conference. Of the remaining teams, the top 36 ranked teams would then warrant an at-large bid. The predicted seedings are also shown.

There is uncertainty with the estimate of the strength of schedule for each team, quantified by a margin of error. All teams whose win-loss record is within the margin of error of their strength of schedule should be considered as borderline for the championship.

Click on the first 200 teams to see their schedule, and a breakdown of the strength of schedule in terms of expected wins (probability of winning) per game.

2013/14 Season: Rankings for Selection Sunday

Margin of error: 0.7 wins.

RankTeamW-LSOSSeed
* Florida 32-221.31
1 Arizona 30-420.21
2 Villanova 28-419.62
3 Wisconsin 26-718.22
4 Michigan 25-817.32
* Iowa State 26-718.43
5 Kansas 24-916.72
6 Syracuse 27-5203
* Virginia 28-620.91
* Wichita State 33-026.31
* Michigan State 26-819.34
7 San Diego State 27-421.54
8 Creighton 26-720.23
9 Duke 26-820.73
10 Cincinnati 27-622.45
* UCLA 26-821.34
11 Oklahoma 23-918.75
* Louisville 29-524.54
12 Ohio State 25-920.76
13 Connecticut 26-821.87
14 Texas 23-10197
* New Mexico 27-623.37
15 Baylor 22-1118.56
* Gonzaga 27-623.68
16 North Carolina 23-919.86
17 Pittsburgh 25-921.99
18 Kentucky 24-10218
19 Oregon 23-920.27
20 Saint Louis 25-622.55
21 Colorado 23-1120.38
* Providence 23-1120.511
22 Memphis 22-919.88
23 Massachusetts 24-821.86
24 George Washingto 24-821.99
25 Virginia Commonw 26-823.95
26 Oklahoma State 21-1219.29
27 Xavier 21-1219.512
28 Arizona State 21-1119.610
* Harvard 25-423.712
29 Stanford 21-1219.710
30 Nebraska 19-1217.911
* Saint Joseph's 24-922.810
31 Iowa 20-121911
32 Kansas State 20-12199
33 Southern Methodi 23-922.3
34 Missouri 22-1121.6
35 Minnesota 19-1318.6
* Stephen F. Austi 29-228.612
36 Florida State 19-1318.8
37 Southern Miss 25-625
38 Illinois 19-1419
39 Brigham Young 22-112210
40 St. John's 20-1220.2
41 Utah 19-1119.2
42 North Carolina S 21-1321.412
43 California 19-1319.4
44 Tennessee 20-1220.511
* North Dakota Sta 22-622.612
45 Dayton 23-1023.811
46 Arkansas 21-1121.8
47 Toledo 26-626.8
48 Clemson 20-1220.8
49 Green Bay 21-621.8
50 Louisiana Tech 26-727.3
51 Georgetown 17-1418.3
* North Carolina C 26-527.614
52 Marquette 17-1518.8
53 West Virginia 17-1518.8
54 LSU 19-1320.8
* Manhattan 25-726.813
55 Saint Mary's 21-1123.4
56 Indiana 17-1519.5
57 Maryland 17-1519.5
58 Georgia 19-1321.6
59 San Francisco 19-1121.5
* Delaware 25-927.813
* New Mexico State 25-928.413
60 Indiana State 21-1024.2
61 Middle Tennessee 22-925.2
62 Wake Forest 17-1620.5
63 Washington 17-1520.5
64 Belmont 23-926.5
65 Mississippi 19-1422.7
66 Texas Tech 14-1817.6
67 Oregon State 16-1519.6
68 Georgia State 23-826.6
69 UC Santa Barbara 19-922.3
70 Iona 22-1025.8
71 Boise State 19-1322.8
72 UTEP 21-1024.7
73 Boston Universit 24-1028.1
* Western Michigan 22-925.814
* Mercer 23-826.814
74 Purdue 15-1719
75 Princeton 19-822.4
76 Penn State 15-1719.1
77 Richmond 19-1423.3
78 Northwestern 14-1918.4
79 UNLV 20-1324.5
80 Seton Hall 17-1721.8
81 Towson 22-1026.6
* Tulsa 21-1225.713
82 Miami (FL) 17-1621.9
83 Missouri State 19-1223.7
84 Houston 17-1622
* Louisiana-Lafaye 20-1124.814
* Eastern Kentucky 22-926.915
85 UC Irvine 21-1126.1
86 Ohio 22-1127.3
87 Georgia Tech 16-1721.4
88 Notre Dame 15-1720.5
89 Canisius 21-1126.5
90 Akron 21-1226.7
91 IPFW 21-1026.4
92 Vermont 20-1025.3
93 Butler 13-1718.3
94 Cleveland State 19-1124.3
95 Texas A&M 17-1522.7
96 St. Bonaventure 18-1523.9
97 Vanderbilt 15-1620.6
98 Utah State 17-1422.9
99 Stony Brook 22-1028.2
100 Quinnipiac 20-1126.2
101 Davidson 19-1225.4
102 Auburn 14-1620.3
103 La Salle 15-1621.5
104 Wyoming 16-1422.3
105 Fresno State 15-1621.5
106 Western Kentucky 19-1225.6
107 Buffalo 18-1023.9
108 Sam Houston Stat 21-1027.7
109 Eastern Michigan 18-1424.9
* Milwaukee 20-1327.215
110 Columbia 18-1224.5
111 Alabama 12-1918.8
* American Univers 20-122715
112 Robert Morris 21-1328.6
113 DePaul 12-2119.4
114 South Carolina 14-2021.6
115 Utah Valley 18-1124.7
116 Pacific 14-1520.8
117 William & Mary 19-1226.3
118 Hawaii 18-1124.8
119 South Dakota Sta 16-1222.7
120 Northern Iowa 15-1522.2
121 Holy Cross 19-1326.8
122 Nevada 15-1723.2
123 Morehead State 18-1326.1
124 Drexel 16-1423.8
125 Charlotte 17-1425.1
126 Yale 14-1321.1
127 Rhode Island 13-1821.3
128 Portland 15-1623.3
129 UAB 16-1323.8
* Weber State 17-1124.516
130 USC 10-2118.4
131 Florida Gulf Coa 20-1228.6
132 Pepperdine 14-1622.1
133 Illinois State 15-1523.1
134 San Diego 14-1622.2
* Wofford 17-122515
135 Murray State 16-1123.4
136 Arkansas State 17-1325.3
137 Southern Univers 16-1324.1
138 Colorado State 14-1622.4
139 UCF 11-1819.1
140 Long Beach State 13-1721.5
141 Wright State 18-1427.2
142 TCU 8-2216.6
143 Denver 15-1523.7
144 Wagner 18-1226.7
145 Bryant Universit 17-1426.2
146 Elon 16-1324.7
147 Mississippi Stat 14-1923.9
148 Duquesne 13-1722
* Coastal Carolina 18-1227.116
149 Northwestern Sta 15-1423.8
* Albany 18-1427.716
150 Bucknell 16-1425.2
151 Hampton 18-1227.3
152 USC Upstate 17-1426.6
153 Washington State 9-2118.3
154 Radford 18-1227.4
155 South Florida 12-2022.1
156 Brown 14-1322.6
157 Drake 14-1623.6
158 Old Dominion 16-1726.6
159 Loyola Marymount 12-1922
* Mount St. Mary's 16-1626.416
160 Valparaiso 15-1524.7
161 Rutgers 11-2121.4
162 Nebraska Omaha 13-1421.8
163 St. Francis (NY) 17-1427.1
164 Winthrop 17-1326.8
165 Oral Roberts 15-1625.3
* Texas Southern 18-1428.716
166 Northern Colorad 16-1325.7
167 George Mason 11-2021.4
168 Incarnate Word 9-614
169 North Florida 14-1624.2
170 Siena 15-1725.9
171 Santa Clara 12-1922.6
172 Montana 15-1324.7
173 Tulane 16-1627.1
174 Texas A&M-CC 16-1426.4
175 Virginia Militar15-1224.4
176 FIU 13-1522.9
177 North Texas 14-1624.6
178 Virginia Tech 9-2220
179 Norfolk State 16-1426.7
180 Arkansas-Little 13-1723.7
181 Morgan State 15-1626.1
182 Temple 9-2220.1
183 Hartford 17-1628.8
184 Boston College 7-2418.2
185 Texas-Arlington 13-1723.8
186 Kent State 15-1626.2
187 Southeast Missou16-1426.9
188 Miami (OH) 13-1724
189 Northern Illinoi14-1725.4
190 Western Carolina16-1527.4
191 High Point 14-1424.3
192 Alabama State 16-1226.3
193 Gardner-Webb 15-1526.1
194 North Dakota 15-1626.5
195 Fordham 10-2121.5
196 Oakland 11-2022.6
197 Rider 14-1725.6
198 Chattanooga 15-1425.9
199 East Tennessee S17-1529.1
200 Grand Canyon 12-1421.9
201 Evansville 12-1923.8
* Cal Poly 11-1922.516
202 Portland State 15-1426.1
203 North Carolina-A14-1525.3
204 Lipscomb 14-1525.3
205 East Carolina 13-1624.3
206 Youngstown State12-1723.3
207 Southern Illinoi13-1925.5
208 Tennessee Tech 15-1627.2
209 Army 14-1626
210 St. Peter's 14-1726.4
211 Eastern Washingt13-1624.6
212 Cal State Northr15-1828.3
213 Lehigh 14-1827
214 Air Force 10-1821.4
215 Charleston 13-1825.7
216 Idaho 15-1828.6
217 Northern Arizona14-1726.8
218 Nicholls State 13-1524.6
219 Bradley 12-2025.7
220 Louisiana-Monroe9-1720.1
221 Dartmouth 10-1621.3
222 Detroit 11-1924
223 Marist 12-1925.6
224 Arkansas-Pine Bl11-1823.8
225 Bowling Green 11-2024.7
226 Colgate 12-1825.4
227 Savannah State 11-1924.4
228 Chicago State 11-1924.5
229 Sacramento State12-1624.8
230 Northeastern 11-2125.9
231 New Orleans 9-1520.2
232 South Dakota 9-1821.6
233 UMKC 10-1923.7
234 Cal State Fuller11-2025.6
235 Seattle 11-1724.3
236 Coppin State 11-2025.8
237 Alabama A&M 12-1625.4
238 McNeese State 9-2023
239 James Madison 11-2026
240 Montana State 12-1726.1
241 Loyola (MD) 10-1924.2
242 Mass Lowell 9-1822.3
243 Florida A&M 12-1826.8
244 Pennsylvania 8-2021.8
245 Cal State Bakers12-1927.3
246 Monmouth 11-2126.9
247 UNC Greensboro 11-1825.4
248 Jacksonville 10-1824
249 Lafayette 10-2025.1
250 Georgia Southern12-1927.8
251 South Alabama 8-2022.4
252 Charleston South9-1823.1
253 Jackson State 11-2027.2
254 Hofstra 10-2327.3
255 Idaho State 9-1823.2
256 Fairleigh Dickin9-2024.2
257 Troy 9-2024.4
258 Marshall 9-2225.5
259 N.J.I.T. 9-1622.3
260 Southeastern Lou10-1825
261 Austin Peay 10-1825.1
262 Central Connecti10-1925.7
263 Loyola (IL) 9-2225.8
264 Florida Atlantic8-2224.3
265 Prairie View A&M10-2328.2
266 Eastern Illinois9-1924.6
267 Samford 10-2026.7
268 St. Francis (PA)10-2127.3
269 San Jose State 5-2421.2
270 Alcorn State 9-1924.8
271 Western Illinois7-2022.3
272 Long Island 9-2025.5
273 UC Riverside 8-2124.5
274 Northern Kentuck9-2126.1
275 North Carolina-W7-2324.2
276 SIU Edwardsville9-2025.7
277 Central Michigan8-2124.8
278 Campbell 9-1925.3
279 UC Davis 7-2224
280 Fairfield 7-2525.8
281 Navy 8-2125.1
282 UMBC 8-2125.1
283 Texas-San Antoni6-2122
284 Delaware State 7-2123.7
285 Jacksonville Sta8-2125.3
286 South Carolina S7-2124
287 Texas State 6-2323.6
288 North Carolina A8-2327.3
289 Texas-Pan Americ8-2327.3
290 Rice 5-2322.5
291 Liberty 8-2126.2
292 Niagara 7-2627.7
293 Furman 7-2024.2
294 Binghamton 7-2326.2
295 Tennessee-Martin6-2324.7
296 Central Arkansas6-2123.5
297 Stetson 7-2427.3
298 Howard 6-2526.4
299 Mississippi Vall6-2325.1
300 Illinois-Chicago4-2523.2
301 Maine 5-2323.7
302 Ball State 3-2521.9
303 Appalachian Stat5-2122.7
304 Tennessee State 4-2523.9
305 Maryland-Eastern5-2324.5
306 New Hampshire 5-2425.2
307 Abilene Christia2-1916.9
308 IUPUI 3-2623.7
309 Houston Baptist 4-2524.8
310 Bethune-Cookman 5-2526.6
311 Longwood 4-2424.2
312 Cornell 1-2620.6
313 Kennesaw State 4-2525
314 Sacred Heart 5-2627.7
315 Lamar 4-2626.3
316 Citadel 4-2525.6
317 Grambling State 4-2324.2
318 Presbyterian 4-2627.2
319 Southern Utah 1-2723.7

Key

Rank: Rank ignoring conference champions. Conference champions denoted by *.

SOS: Strength of schedule, quantified in expected number of wins.

Colouring

SHADED BACKGROUND: suggested teams for at-large bid.

RED FONT: Teams within margin of error.

BOLD UPPERCASE: Teams receiving bids.

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