NCAA Basketball - Rankings for Selection Sunday

2012/13 Season

This table contain current rankings for the 2012/13 season. These are based on regular season results, and compare each team's win-loss record with a benchmark expected number of wins for their schedule (which we call their strength of schedule). Rankings are based on the difference in wins and expected number of wins.

To predict which teams will get bids, until conference champions are known we assume that the highest ranked team in each conference will win their respective conference. Of the remaining teams, the top 37 ranked teams would then warrant an at-large bid. The predicted seedings are also shown.

There is uncertainty with the estimate of the strength of schedule for each team, quantified by a margin of error. All teams whose win-loss record is within the margin of error of their strength of schedule should be considered as borderline for the championship.

Click on the first 200 teams to see their schedule, and a breakdown of the strength of schedule in terms of expected wins (probability of winning) per game.

2012/13 Season: Rankings for Selection Sunday

Margin of error: 0.7 wins.

RankTeamW-LSOSSeed
* Louisville 29-5201
1 Duke 27-519.42
* Gonzaga 30-222.61
2 Indiana 27-619.71
* New Mexico 29-521.53
* Kansas 29-521.81
* Ohio State 26-7192
3 Michigan State 24-817.33
4 Georgetown 25-618.62
5 Michigan 25-718.74
* Miami (FL) 27-620.72
6 Kansas State 26-720.74
7 Syracuse 26-9214
8 Florida 26-721.33
9 Marquette 23-818.63
10 Arizona 25-720.76
11 Wisconsin 23-1118.55
12 Butler 25-8216
* Memphis 30-4266
13 Notre Dame 25-921.37
* Saint Louis 27-623.74
* Creighton 27-723.77
14 Oklahoma State 24-820.95
15 UCLA 25-9226
16 Pittsburgh 24-821.28
17 North Carolina 23-1020.38
18 Illinois 21-1218.47
19 Saint Mary's 26-623.511
20 UNLV 24-921.55
21 Colorado State 23-820.68
* Oregon 26-823.512
22 Wichita State 26-823.79
23 North Carolina S 24-1021.98
24 Minnesota 20-1218.111
* Mississippi 26-82412
25 Virginia Commonw 26-824.15
26 Missouri 23-1021.39
-- Connecticut 20-1018.6
27 Cincinnati 22-1120.610
28 San Diego State 20-1018.97
29 Colorado 21-1119.810
30 Temple 23-922.19
31 Middle Tennessee 28-527.211
* Bucknell 27-526.311
32 Boise State 19-1018.513
33 Iowa State 22-1121.510
34 Iowa 21-1220.7
35 Oklahoma 20-1119.710
36 California 20-1119.812
* Akron 25-624.812
37 Villanova 19-13199
* Belmont 24-62411
38 Kentucky 21-1121.1
39 La Salle 21-921.313
40 Stephen F. Austi 23-423.6
41 Tennessee 20-1220.7
* Valparaiso 25-725.914
42 Louisiana Tech 25-626
43 Maryland 22-1223.2
44 Southern Miss 23-924.2
45 Alabama 20-1221.3
46 Virginia 21-1122.4
47 Massachusetts 21-1122.5
* Davidson 25-726.814
48 Arizona State 21-1222.9
49 Arkansas 19-1321.2
50 LSU 19-1221.1
* Montana 23-62513
51 Charlotte 21-1123.3
52 Stanford 18-1420.4
53 Ohio 24-926.6
54 Denver 21-923.4
55 Baylor 17-1419.5
56 Stony Brook 23-725.5
57 Brigham Young 20-1122.7
58 Florida State 18-1520.9
* New Mexico State 23-1025.913
59 Air Force 15-1317.5
60 Providence 17-1420
61 Wyoming 17-1319.9
62 Washington 18-1521.3
63 Weber State 24-627
64 Northern Iowa 17-1420.3
65 Nebraska 15-1818.5
* South Dakota Sta 22-925.313
66 Indiana State 17-1420.4
67 Santa Clara 19-1122.3
* Harvard 18-921.114
68 North Dakota Sta 22-925.7
69 St. John's 16-1519.8
70 Saint Joseph's 18-1321.8
71 Purdue 15-1719
72 Charleston 24-928.2
* Northwestern Sta 19-822.514
73 Lehigh 20-923.8
74 Detroit 18-1222
75 Eastern Kentucky 22-926.1
76 Texas 16-1620.4
77 Utah State 20-1024.2
78 Rutgers 15-1619.3
79 Texas A&M 18-1522.7
80 Richmond 18-1422.6
* Pacific 20-1224.715
* Florida Gulf Coa 22-1026.715
81 UCF 18-1122.3
82 Xavier 17-1421.6
* Albany 24-1029.115
83 Georgia Tech 16-1520.7
84 Evansville 17-1421.7
85 Illinois State 18-1523.3
86 Boston College 16-1721.3
87 Western Illinois 20-824.7
88 Long Beach State 17-1322
89 Dayton 17-1422.3
90 Vanderbilt 16-1721.6
91 Loyola (MD) 21-1126.5
92 USC 14-1819.5
93 Murray State 19-1024.1
94 Northwestern 13-1918.8
95 Seton Hall 15-1821
96 Wright State 20-1225.9
97 Georgia 15-1721
98 UTEP 18-1424.1
99 Robert Morris 23-1029.3
* Iona 20-1326.415
100 North Carolina C 19-924.5
101 Canisius 18-1324.2
102 Mercer 21-1127.4
103 Western Michigan 19-1225.2
104 Texas-Arlington 19-1325.5
* Southern Univers 20-925.916
105 Vermont 21-1127.6
106 Delaware 19-1425.9
107 Norfolk State 21-1127.7
108 Kent State 19-1325.9
109 St. Bonaventure 14-1520.5
110 Drake 14-1721
111 Virginia Tech 13-1920.2
112 Niagara 19-1326.3
113 Princeton 16-1122.1
114 Bryant Universit 19-1125.8
115 West Virginia 13-1920.3
116 Utah 13-1820.2
117 South Florida 12-1919.2
118 Northeastern 20-1227.5
119 Bradley 16-1623.6
120 UC Irvine 18-1525.8
121 Elon 19-1126.1
122 Penn State 10-2117.4
123 Wake Forest 13-1820.5
124 Oregon State 14-1821.7
125 Tennessee State 16-1423.2
126 Cal Poly 16-1323
127 East Carolina 14-1220.3
128 Green Bay 17-1524.9
* Western Kentucky 19-1527.416
129 Clemson 13-1820.7
130 Jacksonville Sta 15-1121.5
131 Wagner 19-1226.8
132 Lafayette 18-1526.4
133 Mount St. Mary's 18-1426.1
134 FIU 18-1426.2
135 Boston Universit 17-1224.4
136 Texas Southern 17-1425
137 Towson 17-1324.8
138 George Mason 18-1426.3
139 Gardner-Webb 18-1225.8
140 Fairfield 19-1527.9
141 Houston 18-1225.8
142 Tulane 18-1426.4
143 Rider 18-1426.4
144 Arkansas State 18-1225.9
145 Washington State 13-1921.5
146 Oral Roberts 17-1425.4
147 UAB 15-1723.7
148 San Francisco 13-1620.9
149 Tulsa 16-1524.4
150 George Washingto 13-1721.1
151 Savannah State 17-1425.5
* Long Island 20-1329.116
* James Madison 20-1429.416
152 Southern Illinoi 13-1721.4
153 South Alabama 16-1223.8
154 San Diego 14-1823
155 Fresno State 9-1916.9
156 Arkansas-Pine Bl 16-1424.5
157 Illinois-Chicago 16-1524.8
158 Nevada 11-1919.5
159 Hartford 17-1325.6
160 Toledo 15-1323
161 Oakland 14-1622.8
162 Charleston South 16-1224.2
163 Hawaii 16-1424.8
164 DePaul 11-2120.6
165 Arkansas-Little 16-1525.5
166 Texas Tech 11-2020.5
167 South Carolina 14-1823.9
168 Youngstown State 14-1523.2
169 Ball State 14-1523.9
170 Army 15-1525.4
171 Manhattan 14-1825.2
172 Loyola (IL) 14-1624.5
* North Carolina A18-1629.916
173 Mississippi Stat10-2221.3
174 Morgan State 17-1528.4
175 Yale 12-1722.5
176 TCU 10-2121.3
177 Pepperdine 11-1821.6
178 Southeast Missou15-1626.4
179 UC Davis 14-1725.4
180 Cleveland State 11-1821.9
181 High Point 15-1325.5
182 Eastern Michigan13-1824.7
183 North Carolina-A13-1624
184 Marshall 12-1923.7
185 Georgia State 14-1625.4
186 Morehead State 13-1824.8
187 Stetson 14-1625.5
188 Portland 9-2120.7
189 Quinnipiac 15-1627.1
190 Southern Methodi14-1726.1
191 Missouri State 9-2221.1
192 USC Upstate 14-1726.2
193 Sam Houston Stat14-1726.2
194 Brown 12-1522.7
195 North Dakota 14-1625.9
196 Idaho 11-1822.5
197 Cal State Bakers10-1620.3
198 Cal State Northr12-1723.5
199 Florida Atlantic13-1825.3
200 IPFW 14-1726.4
201 Loyola Marymount10-2222.9
202 Drexel 13-1825.5
203 Cornell 12-1824.1
204 Auburn 9-2322
205 Central Connecti13-1725.2
206 N.J.I.T. 12-1322.2
207 North Florida 12-1924.8
208 Rhode Island 8-2120.1
209 Appalachian Stat13-1625.1
210 Southeastern Lou11-1823.2
211 Delaware State 13-1826.1
212 Holy Cross 12-1824.7
213 Buffalo 12-2025.8
214 Cal State Fuller12-1824.9
215 Fordham 7-2420.5
216 Louisiana-Lafaye12-2026
217 Lipscomb 11-1823.7
218 Duquesne 8-2221.2
219 William & Mary 12-1724.7
220 UC Santa Barbara9-2021.8
221 Western Carolina12-1925.8
222 McNeese State 11-1723.5
223 Wofford 12-1925.8
224 Colgate 11-2125.3
225 Bowling Green 11-1924.5
226 Jacksonville 12-1825.5
227 North Texas 11-1924.5
228 Coastal Carolina11-1522.7
229 Sacramento State12-1524.2
230 Winthrop 11-1723.7
231 American Univers10-2023.7
232 Texas-Pan Americ12-1624.8
233 St. Francis (NY)12-1825.8
234 Tennessee Tech 10-1722.5
235 Hampton 14-1728.3
236 Columbia 10-1622
237 Northern Kentuck11-1623.5
238 Georgia Southern12-1926.4
239 Northern Colorad11-1824.5
240 Central Michigan10-2024.1
241 Nebraska Omaha 10-1923.7
242 Texas State 11-2226.7
243 Northern Arizona11-2126.2
244 Jackson State 11-1824.9
245 Central Arkansas11-1724.4
246 Bethune-Cookman 12-2027.4
247 Texas-San Antoni10-2225.7
248 Houston Baptist 11-1724.8
249 Miami (OH) 8-2222.8
250 Campbell 11-1925.9
251 Marist 10-2125.4
* Liberty 12-2027.916
252 Maine 10-1924.4
253 Prairie View A&M12-1927.6
254 Troy 12-2128.6
255 Eastern Illinois11-2026.6
256 Virginia Militar11-1725.1
257 Samford 10-2125.7
258 Pennsylvania 9-2224.7
259 Chattanooga 11-1926.2
260 South Dakota 8-2022.3
261 Montana State 11-1725.3
262 San Jose State 8-2022.4
263 Monmouth 10-2125.9
264 East Tennessee S9-2225.2
265 North Carolina-W9-2024.2
266 Nicholls State 9-2124.7
267 Sacred Heart 9-2024.3
268 Utah Valley 10-1824.8
269 Dartmouth 8-1922.5
270 Alcorn State 9-2326.2
271 St. Peter's 9-2125.2
272 Radford 10-1925.9
273 Eastern Washingt10-2127.1
274 Southern Utah 9-2025.1
275 New Hampshire 8-2023.6
276 SIU Edwardsville7-1820.9
277 Seattle 7-2223.2
278 Chicago State 7-2122.9
279 Alabama A&M 9-2025.4
280 Alabama State 9-2226.6
281 UMKC 7-2424.9
282 Tennessee-Martin7-2123.2
283 Milwaukee 6-2423.3
284 Siena 8-2426.8
285 Coppin State 7-2425.3
286 UMBC 7-2325.2
287 Fairleigh Dickin7-2426.2
288 Navy 7-2325.6
289 Howard 6-2324.2
290 UNC Greensboro 7-2225.5
291 Texas A&M-CC 5-2322.8
292 Portland State 6-2022.6
293 Longwood 6-2525.9
294 Austin Peay 6-2324.6
295 Florida A&M 6-2324.8
296 Citadel 6-2224.3
297 Hofstra 6-2526.4
298 Presbyterian 5-2424.2
299 Mississippi Vall5-2323.5
300 Louisiana-Monroe4-2322
301 Rice 4-2523.4
302 IUPUI 4-2624.3
303 St. Francis (PA)5-2424.8
304 Old Dominion 5-2525.5
305 New Orleans 4-1819.1
306 Idaho State 5-2424.9
307 UC Riverside 4-2423.3
308 Northern Illinoi4-2524.1
309 South Carolina S4-2423.7
310 Furman 5-2425.5
311 Lamar 3-2825
312 Kennesaw State 3-2725.6
313 Binghamton 2-2724.3
314 Maryland-Eastern2-2623.6
315 Grambling State 0-2824.9

Key

Rank: Rank ignoring conference champions. Conference champions denoted by *.

SOS: Strength of schedule, quantified in expected number of wins.

Colouring

SHADED BACKGROUND: suggested teams for at-large bid.

RED FONT: Teams within margin of error.

BOLD UPPERCASE: Teams receiving bids.

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