NCAA Basketball - Rankings for Selection Sunday

2011/12 Season

This table contain current rankings for the 2011/12 season. These are based on regular season results, and compare each teams win-loss record with a benchmark expected number of wins for their schedule (which we call their strength of schedule). Rankings are based on the difference in wins and expected number of wins.

To predict which teams will get bids, until conference champions are known we assume that the highest ranked team in each conference will win their respective conference. Of the remaining teams, the top 37 ranked teams would then warrant an at-large bid. The predicted seedings are also shown.

There is uncertainty with the estimate of the strength of schedule for each team, quantified by a margin of error. All teams whose win-loss record is within the margin of error of their strength of schedule should be considered as borderline for the championship.

Click on the first 200 teams to see their schedule, and a breakdown of the strength of schedule in terms of expected wins (probability of winning) per game.

2011/12 Season: Rankings for Selection Sunday

Margin of error: 0.7 wins.

RankTeamW-LSOSSeed
1 Kentucky 32-221.21
2 Syracuse 31-220.61
* Missouri 30-420.62
3 Kansas 27-618.32
* Michigan State 26-717.31
4 North Carolina 29-520.71
5 Duke 27-619.12
6 Baylor 26-718.13
7 Ohio State 27-7192
8 Michigan 23-916.54
9 Indiana 25-819.34
10 Marquette 25-719.63
11 Wisconsin 24-918.84
* Louisville 26-920.84
* Creighton 28-523.28
12 Wichita State 26-521.65
13 Georgetown 22-817.83
* Florida State 24-919.73
* Murray State 27-123.46
14 Temple 24-720.35
15 San Diego State 24-720.66
* Vanderbilt 24-1020.55
* New Mexico 26-622.75
16 UNLV 24-820.96
17 Kansas State 21-1018.28
* Memphis 26-8238
18 Florida 23-1020.27
19 Cincinnati 24-1021.26
20 Iowa State 22-1019.48
* Saint Mary's 25-522.77
21 Gonzaga 25-622.87
22 Saint Louis 24-721.99
23 Purdue 21-1219.110
24 Notre Dame 22-1120.17
* Harvard 25-423.412
25 Virginia 22-920.410
* Virginia Commonw 28-626.612
26 Southern Miss 23-821.79
27 Alabama 21-1119.89
28 Texas 20-1318.811
29 California 24-923.112
* Long Beach State 23-822.212
30 Oral Roberts 27-626.3
31 Northwestern 18-1317.6
32 Connecticut 20-1319.69
33 Middle Tennessee 24-623.7
34 North Carolina S 22-1221.711
* Belmont 26-725.714
35 Oregon 22-921.8
36 Nevada 24-623.8
37 Drexel 27-626.9
* Ohio 26-725.913
38 Xavier 21-1221.210
39 West Virginia 19-1319.210
40 Brigham Young 23-823.214
41 South Florida 19-1319.412
42 Washington 21-1021.4
43 Seton Hall 20-1220.4
44 Miami (FL) 19-1219.4
45 Arizona 23-1123.6
46 Mississippi 20-1320.6
47 Mississippi Stat 21-1121.7
48 Colorado State 19-1119.711
49 Iona 25-725.814
* Colorado 21-1121.811
50 Minnesota 19-1419.8
* South Dakota Sta 25-72614
* Davidson 24-72513
51 UCF 20-1021
52 Illinois 17-1518.2
53 Weber State 22-623.2
54 Marshall 20-1321.5
55 Massachusetts 22-1123.6
56 Wagner 25-626.6
* St. Bonaventure 20-1121.614
57 Tennessee 17-1418.9
* Lehigh 25-72715
58 Stanford 21-1123
* Loyola (MD) 24-826.115
* New Mexico State 24-926.213
59 Iowa 17-1619.3
60 Dayton 20-1222.3
61 Akron 21-1123.3
* Montana 23-625.113
62 Saint Joseph's 20-1322.4
63 LSU 18-1420.5
64 George Mason 24-926.7
65 Maryland 17-1519.8
66 Northern Iowa 18-1320.8
67 Bucknell 23-925.9
68 La Salle 21-1224
69 Texas-Arlington 23-825.9
70 Buffalo 18-1020.6
71 Wyoming 18-1120.9
72 Oklahoma State 14-1817.2
* Long Island 25-828.416
73 Cleveland State 21-1024.2
74 Pittsburgh 17-1620.4
75 Denver 22-925.3
* Norfolk State 24-827.415
76 Illinois State 20-1323.6
77 Robert Morris 24-1027.8
78 Oklahoma 15-1618.6
79 UCLA 18-1422
80 Mercer 21-1125.1
81 Arkansas 18-1422.1
82 Georgia 15-1719.2
83 UC Santa Barbara 18-1021.7
* North Carolina-A 21-92516
84 Indiana State 17-1421.2
85 Yale 17-920.6
86 Virginia Tech 16-1720.7
87 Valparaiso 20-1124.4
88 Kent State 20-1124.4
* Lamar 21-1125.716
89 Oregon State 18-1422.8
90 Old Dominion 20-1325
91 Pennsylvania 19-1223.7
92 TCU 16-1420.6
* Mississippi Vall 21-1226.216
93 Drake 16-1520.9
94 Loyola Marymount 17-1221.6
95 Nebraska 12-1816.8
96 Texas A&M 13-1818
97 Providence 15-1720.2
98 Princeton 17-1121.6
99 Stony Brook 21-926
100 Tulsa 17-1422.3
101 Butler 19-1424.7
102 Auburn 15-1620.4
103 USC Upstate 18-1223.3
104 Milwaukee 18-1323.5
* Detroit 20-1325.815
105 Duquesne 15-1520.3
106 Cal State Fuller 19-924
107 Villanova 13-1918.8
108 Clemson 16-1521.6
109 Evansville 15-1520.4
* Vermont 23-1129.216
110 UAB 15-1620.7
111 Georgia State 21-1126.9
112 Missouri State 15-1620.7
113 Tennessee State 18-1223.6
114 American Univers 20-1125.8
115 Rutgers 14-1820
116 Richmond 16-1622.1
117 Penn State 12-2018.2
118 San Francisco 18-1324.1
119 St. John's 13-1919.4
120 Manhattan 20-1226.5
121 Savannah State 19-1125.2
122 Charleston 19-1225.4
123 Fairfield 19-1426
124 North Florida 15-1622.2
125 South Alabama 16-1222.5
126 UTEP 15-1722.4
127 Delaware 18-1325.2
128 Washington State 14-1621.1
129 East Tennessee S 16-1423.2
130 Rice 14-1521
131 Idaho 16-1323.1
132 Tennessee Tech 17-1324.4
133 Oakland 16-1523.7
134 Charlotte 13-1720.5
135 Charleston South 16-1223
136 Bowling Green 15-1522.7
137 Boise State 12-1719.6
138 Green Bay 13-1520.3
139 DePaul 12-1920.2
140 Wake Forest 13-1821.3
141 Wofford 17-1325.2
142 Air Force 11-1618.4
143 Utah State 16-1524.5
144 Stephen F. Austi 16-1223.8
145 Western Illinois 14-1421.8
146 Quinnipiac 18-1326.7
147 Louisiana Tech 16-1625.2
148 Albany 19-1428.5
149 North Dakota Sta 15-1323.1
150 North Texas 15-1423.4
151 Texas-San Antoni 16-1424.8
152 Houston 14-1522.5
153 Coastal Carolina 15-1122.6
154 Utah Valley 16-1224.3
155 South Carolina 10-2119.3
156 Louisiana-Lafaye 15-1524.1
157 Arkansas-Little 14-1623.1
158 Northeastern 14-1723.6
159 Holy Cross 15-1424
160 Boston Universit 16-1625.9
161 Cal Poly 16-1525.7
162 Florida Gulf Coa 14-1723.8
163 Georgia Tech 11-2020.8
164 Youngstown State 14-1523.2
165 Morehead State 15-1524.6
166 East Carolina 11-1619.6
167 Campbell 16-1525.9
168 Hawaii 14-1623.7
169 McNeese State 14-1523.4
170 Portland State 15-1524.7
171 George Washingto10-2120.2
172 Tulane 13-1622.5
* Western Kentucky15-182616
173 Cal State Bakers13-1422.1
174 Texas Tech 8-2318.5
175 Western Michigan13-2024.3
176 Lipscomb 12-1822.3
177 Northwestern Sta13-1623
178 Cornell 11-1620.4
179 Eastern Michigan13-1823.9
180 Columbia 13-1522.8
181 Elon 13-1623.2
182 Toledo 16-1627.3
183 Ball State 14-1524.2
184 Texas Southern 15-1826.7
185 Fordham 10-1920.4
186 Eastern Washingt13-1723.7
187 Western Carolina15-1826.9
188 Arkansas State 13-2024.9
189 Bethune-Cookman 16-1728
190 North Dakota 13-1422.8
191 Central Connecti13-1623.6
192 Georgia Southern13-1523.3
193 North Carolina C13-1523.4
194 Delaware State 13-1423
195 Marist 14-1825.9
196 St. Francis (NY)15-1526.2
197 Siena 14-1725.6
198 Southern Methodi11-1922.3
199 Virginia Militar14-1625.3
200 Niagara 14-1926.4
201 Wright State 12-1923.7
202 Boston College 9-2220.7
203 Presbyterian 13-1523.6
204 San Diego 11-1822.1
205 IUPUI 12-1823.6
206 UNC Greensboro 12-1924
207 UC Riverside 12-1723.2
208 Austin Peay 11-2023
209 Southern Univers14-1424.9
210 Arizona State 10-2122.1
211 Lafayette 13-1825.1
212 Rider 13-1925.5
213 Eastern Kentucky14-1625.8
214 Southern Utah 12-1723.4
215 Furman 13-1624.4
216 Florida Atlantic10-1921.4
217 Southeast Missou13-1624.6
218 Jacksonville Sta13-1725.1
219 Fresno State 11-2023.7
220 Southern Illinoi8-2220.4
221 Monmouth 12-2025.4
222 Sacred Heart 14-1827.5
223 James Madison 12-2025.6
224 UC Irvine 10-1922.4
225 Coppin State 10-1621.2
226 Miami (OH) 8-2120.6
227 North Carolina-W10-2123.7
228 Jacksonville 8-2221.4
229 Seattle 9-1519.7
230 Appalachian Stat11-1824
231 Troy 9-1821.2
232 Pepperdine 9-1921.7
233 Central Michigan10-2124.1
234 Bradley 7-2521.6
235 Stetson 8-2020.8
236 USC 6-2620.7
237 UMKC 9-2022.3
238 High Point 11-1824.4
239 New Hampshire 12-1625
240 Maine 11-1724.1
241 N.J.I.T. 11-1724.1
242 Sam Houston Stat9-1922.2
243 Rhode Island 7-2421.7
244 Prairie View A&M11-1824.8
245 Montana State 10-1722.9
246 Northern Colorad8-1820.5
247 Hofstra 10-2225.4
248 Liberty 11-1825
249 Portland 6-2420.5
250 IPFW 8-1921.1
251 Winthrop 10-2024.5
252 Howard 9-2123.7
253 Army 11-1825.2
254 Florida Internat8-2021.8
255 Pacific 9-1922.9
256 Eastern Illinois10-1723.4
257 Arkansas-Pine Bl11-2227.4
258 Southeastern Lou9-1722
259 Texas State 9-1722.1
260 North Carolina A9-2023.6
261 Gardner-Webb 10-2025.1
262 Alabama State 10-1924.6
263 Utah 5-2520.2
264 Nicholls State 8-2022.2
265 Samford 9-1923.3
266 South Dakota 7-1820.1
267 Morgan State 9-2024.3
268 Idaho State 8-2123.4
269 Santa Clara 6-2220.9
270 San Jose State 8-2224
271 Chattanooga 8-2123.5
272 Hampton 12-2129.6
273 Illinois-Chicago7-2122.1
274 SIU Edwardsville8-1721.6
275 Colgate 8-2224.6
276 Mount St. Mary's8-2124.2
277 Sacramento State8-1822.6
278 Texas-Pan Americ7-2122.9
279 Hartford 9-2226.7
280 Loyola (IL) 6-2322.9
281 Jackson State 6-2423.6
282 Houston Baptist 7-2022.9
283 Brown 7-2324.7
284 Central Arkansas6-2021.4
285 Longwood 6-2122
286 Florida A&M 8-2326.8
287 St. Francis (PA)6-2323.6
288 Texas A&M-CC 6-2424.3
289 Maryland-Eastern6-2323.8
290 William & Mary 5-2624.1
291 Cal State Northr5-2121
292 Alcorn State 7-2124.4
293 St. Peter's 5-2624.5
294 Canisius 5-2524.6
295 Kennesaw State 2-2821.7
296 Chicago State 3-2521.6
297 Louisiana-Monroe3-2521.6
298 Northern Illinoi4-2523.4
299 UC Davis 4-2624.1
300 Alabama A&M 5-2122.6
301 Dartmouth 4-2523.8
302 Towson 1-3123
303 Radford 4-2624.9
304 Citadel 4-2423.7
305 Northern Arizona3-2422.5
306 UMBC 4-2625.8
307 Tennessee-Martin2-2723.1
308 Grambling State 4-2424.4
309 South Carolina S3-2624.3
310 Fairleigh Dickin3-2624.4
311 Bryant Universit2-2824.4
312 Navy 2-2623.3
313 Binghamton 2-2927

Key

Rank: Rank ignoring conference champions. Conference champions denoted by *.

SOS: Strength of schedule, quantified in expected number of wins.

Colouring

SHADED BACKGROUND: suggested teams for at-large bid.

RED FONT: Teams within margin of error.

BOLD UPPERCASE: Teams receiving bids.

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