NCAA Basketball - Rankings for Selection Sunday

2010/11 Season

This table contain current rankings for the 2010/11 season. These are based on regular season results, and compare each teams win-loss record with a benchmark expected number of wins for their schedule (which we call their strength of schedule). Rankings are based on the difference in wins and expected number of wins.

To predict which teams will get bids, until conference champions are known we assume that the highest ranked team in each conference will win their respective conference. Of the remaining teams, the top 37 ranked teams would then warrant an at-large bid. The predicted seedings are also shown.

There is uncertainty with the estimate of the strength of schedule for each team, quantified by a margin of error. All teams whose win-loss record is within the margin of error of their strength of schedule should be considered as borderline for the championship.

Click on the first 200 teams to see their schedule, and a breakdown of the strength of schedule in terms of expected wins (probability of winning) per game.

2010/11 Season: Rankings for Selection Sunday

Margin of error: 0.7 wins.

RankTeamW-LSOSSeed
* Ohio State 32-220.11
* Kansas 32-220.61
* San Diego State 30-220.62
* Duke 30-420.31
1 Notre Dame 26-617.62
2 Pittsburgh 27-518.61
3 Brigham Young 29-421.33
4 North Carolina 26-718.32
5 Purdue 25-717.73
* Connecticut 26-918.23
6 Syracuse 26-719.23
7 Wisconsin 23-816.94
8 Texas 27-720.44
9 Georgetown 21-10166
10 Arizona 27-721.55
11 Florida 26-720.72
* Kentucky 25-819.84
12 Louisville 25-919.74
13 West Virginia 20-1116.15
14 St. John's 21-11176
15 Cincinnati 25-8216
* Utah State 29-325.212
16 Texas A&M 23-819.57
17 UNLV 24-820.58
18 Kansas State 21-1017.75
19 Michigan State 18-1415.410
20 Temple 25-722.67
21 Missouri 22-1019.811
22 Michigan 19-1316.88
23 Villanova 21-1118.89
24 Penn State 19-1416.810
25 Illinois 19-1316.99
26 Xavier 24-7226
* Washington 23-1020.97
* Old Dominion 27-624.99
27 UCLA 22-10207
28 Vanderbilt 23-1021.15
* Richmond 27-725.412
29 Marquette 20-1418.611
30 Florida State 21-1019.810
31 Virginia Tech 21-1119.7
32 Clemson 21-1120.312
* Gonzaga 23-922.411
33 George Mason 26-625.58
* Belmont 30-429.513
34 Boston College 20-1219.6
35 Saint Mary's 23-822.7
* Memphis 25-924.712
36 Colorado 20-1319.7
37 Georgia 21-1120.810
38 Northwestern 18-1318
39 UAB 22-822.112
* Oakland 24-924.213
40 Oklahoma State 19-1319.3
41 Washington State 19-1219.3
42 Harvard 21-621.3
* Princeton 24-624.413
* Butler 22-922.48
43 Cleveland State 24-824.5
44 Minnesota 17-1417.6
45 California 17-1417.8
46 Tennessee 19-1419.99
47 USC 19-142011
48 New Mexico 20-1221.2
49 UTEP 24-925.3
50 Colorado State 18-1219.2
51 Nebraska 19-1220.3
52 Alabama 21-1122.3
53 Maryland 19-1420.5
54 Missouri State 25-826.5
55 Miami (FL) 19-1420.9
* Long Island 27-528.815
56 Coastal Carolina 24-525.7
57 Wichita State 23-825
58 Virginia Commonw 23-1125.511
* Bucknell 25-827.614
59 Fairfield 24-726.5
60 Southern Miss 19-1021.4
61 Baylor 17-1319.6
62 Marshall 20-1122.7
63 Long Beach State 20-1122.8
64 Dayton 22-1325.2
65 Virginia 16-1519
66 Valparaiso 21-1124.2
67 Charleston 24-1027.5
68 Drexel 21-1024.2
69 North Carolina S 15-1618.2
70 Portland 20-1123.3
71 Mississippi 20-1323.6
72 Vermont 23-826.5
73 Rutgers 15-1718.8
74 Rider 23-1027
75 James Madison 21-1124.9
76 Hofstra 20-1124
* Morehead State 22-92613
77 American Univers 22-926.1
78 Seton Hall 13-1817.1
79 Oklahoma 14-1718.2
80 Kent State 22-1126.5
81 Arkansas 18-1322.3
82 UCF 18-1122
83 Murray State 21-825.1
84 Iowa State 16-1620.6
85 East Tennessee S 21-1125.7
86 Providence 15-1719.7
87 Air Force 14-1418.1
88 Rhode Island 19-1323.8
89 Oregon 15-1719.8
90 Milwaukee 19-1323.9
91 Tulsa 19-1324
* Wofford 21-1226.214
92 Mississippi Stat 17-1422
93 Iona 22-1127.3
* Northern Colorad 19-1023.715
94 Boise State 19-1224.1
95 Duquesne 17-1221.8
* Indiana State 19-1324.414
96 South Carolina 14-1619.1
97 Montana 19-1024
98 Stanford 15-1620.4
99 Northern Iowa 18-1323.5
100 Furman 20-1025.3
* Akron 22-1228.115
101 Florida Atlantic 19-1024.3
* St. Peter's 20-1326.114
102 San Francisco 15-1420.5
* Hampton 23-828.916
103 Indiana 12-2018.1
104 IUPUI 17-1423.1
105 Iowa 11-2017.4
106 Jacksonville 18-1124
107 Hawaii 17-1223
108 Quinnipiac 22-928.5
109 Texas Tech 13-1919.7
110 Santa Clara 17-1423.5
111 Wright State 17-1423.5
112 Creighton 19-1425.9
113 IPFW 17-1223.2
114 McNeese State 17-1022.7
115 Utah 12-1818.5
116 St. Bonaventure 16-1422.6
117 Oral Roberts 19-1526.5
118 Georgia Tech 13-1819.9
119 East Carolina 15-1521.7
120 Arizona State 12-1918.9
121 Idaho 17-1323.8
122 Miami (OH) 15-1622.1
123 Western Michigan 19-1226.1
124 George Washingto 17-1424.2
125 Robert Morris 18-1425.6
126 Northern Arizona 17-1223.9
* UC Santa Barbara 16-1322.915
* Boston Universit 21-1329.116
127 Texas Southern 19-1226.5
128 North Texas 20-1127.5
129 Lipscomb 16-1323.1
130 Ball State 18-1225.4
131 South Dakota Sta 17-1224.1
132 South Florida 10-2318.4
133 Austin Peay 18-1325.9
134 Weber State 15-1322.3
135 Central Connecti 19-1227.1
* North Carolina-A 16-1323.716
136 Detroit 16-1624.6
137 North Florida 15-1924.1
138 Davidson 16-1424.2
139 New Mexico State 14-1722.5
140 Tennessee Tech 17-1225
141 Buffalo 17-1325.4
142 San Jose State 16-1524.8
143 Ohio 18-1527.4
144 Evansville 14-1522.2
145 Loyola (IL) 16-1524.9
146 Western Carolina 17-1526.2
147 Yale 14-1321.8
148 UMKC 15-1423.4
149 Liberty 16-1324.5
150 Oregon State 11-2020.1
151 Bethune-Cookman 17-1225.5
152 La Salle 15-1824.7
153 Cal Poly 15-1423.7
154 Southern Methodi 14-1422.4
155 Massachusetts 14-1522.7
156 Green Bay 13-1822.4
157 Pacific 14-1522.9
158 Pennsylvania 13-1521.9
159 Morgan State 17-1427
160 Stephen F. Austi 14-1122.1
161 Loyola (MD) 15-1524.7
162 Delaware 14-1724
163 Northwestern Sta 16-1325.4
164 Columbia 14-1322.8
165 Sam Houston Stat 14-1322.8
166 TCU 11-2221.9
167 Appalachian Stat 14-1523.6
168 Virginia Militar 14-1322.9
169 Utah Valley 15-1123.6
170 Arkansas State 15-1525
171 Fresno State 13-1723
172 Rice 12-1822.1
173 Canisius 15-1525.2
174 Western Kentucky16-1627
175 Saint Louis 11-1921.3
176 Lehigh 16-1526.7
* Arkansas-Little 17-1628.516
* Texas-San Antoni15-1324.716
177 Coppin State 13-1422.6
178 Chattanooga 14-1624.7
179 North Dakota 15-1425.5
180 Mercer 14-1825.6
181 DePaul 7-2418.3
182 Jackson State 15-1526
183 Nevada 12-1923.3
184 St. Francis (NY)15-1526
185 North Carolina-W13-1824.4
186 Southeastern Lou12-1421.6
187 Drake 13-1824.5
188 North Dakota Sta12-1522.1
189 Maine 14-1524.8
190 Southern Illinoi13-1925
191 Saint Joseph's 11-2223.5
192 Middle Tennessee15-1626.8
193 Mississippi Vall13-1925.2
194 Presbyterian 13-1824.8
195 Albany 16-1628.2
196 LSU 11-2123.3
197 Louisiana-Lafaye13-1423.4
198 Siena 13-1825.2
199 Tulane 10-1720.6
200 Wake Forest 8-2420.6
201 Wyoming 8-2119.5
202 Auburn 10-2021.9
203 Charlotte 10-2022
204 Wagner 13-1725
205 Texas State 14-1525.6
206 Pepperdine 11-2123.8
207 Cal State Northr12-1824.2
208 South Dakota 14-1525.8
209 Denver 13-1725.3
210 Charleston South12-1623.5
211 Northeastern 11-2023.7
* Alabama State 15-1728.116
212 Eastern Kentucky13-1625.1
213 Tennessee State 12-1623.7
214 Stony Brook 14-1727
215 Bowling Green 13-1926.5
216 North Carolina A12-1724.3
217 Portland State 13-1625.3
218 Houston 10-1821.9
219 Georgia State 12-1925.3
220 Nicholls State 10-1420.3
221 Bradley 11-2024.4
222 UC Irvine 12-1925.4
223 Winthrop 11-1723.2
224 Louisiana Tech 11-2024.6
225 North Carolina C11-1522.4
226 Lafayette 12-1925.6
227 Elon 11-1723.4
228 Cornell 10-1822.4
229 Savannah State 8-1819.5
230 Illinois State 12-1925.7
231 South Alabama 10-1621.7
232 UC Riverside 10-1923.1
233 Montana State 11-1824.2
234 Southern Utah 10-1822.8
235 N.J.I.T. 11-1523
236 William & Mary 9-2223.4
237 Mount St. Mary's11-2125.9
238 Seattle 11-2025.6
239 Loyola Marymount9-2123.2
240 Longwood 8-1920.8
241 Campbell 11-1925.3
242 Brown 10-1722.9
243 Florida Gulf Coa10-2024.4
244 Alabama A&M 10-1522.3
245 Texas-Arlington 9-1621.3
246 Cal State Fuller10-2024.8
247 Cal State Bakers9-1922.9
248 New Hampshire 11-1825.4
249 Norfolk State 12-2027.9
250 Gardner-Webb 9-2124
251 Hartford 11-2026.6
252 Sacred Heart 11-1825.7
253 High Point 10-1924.7
254 Eastern Washingt8-2022.3
255 Youngstown State7-2121.4
256 Grambling State 12-2129
257 Fordham 7-2121.6
258 Tennessee-Martin10-2126.2
259 Lamar 9-1722.6
260 Idaho State 7-2021.2
261 Samford 10-1925.4
262 St. Francis (PA)9-2124.9
263 UC Davis 8-2022.9
264 Navy 10-2026
265 Citadel 8-2224
266 Central Michigan9-2125
267 Army 10-1925.5
268 Illinois-Chicago6-2422.1
269 Northern Illinoi8-2123.8
270 Florida Internat9-1924.2
271 Niagara 9-2326.5
272 UNC Greensboro 7-2424
273 Bryant Universit8-2123.9
274 Texas A&M-CC 7-2122.5
275 Stetson 8-2224.7
276 Monmouth 9-2125.9
277 Southeast Missou9-2226.6
278 Troy 7-2122.9
279 San Diego 4-2420
280 Delaware State 7-2123.1
281 Holy Cross 8-2124.9
282 Prairie View A&M7-2224
283 Florida A&M 8-2024.5
284 Kennesaw State 7-2324.7
285 Arkansas-Pine Bl7-2425.5
286 Colgate 7-2325
287 Eastern Illinois7-2023.4
288 USC Upstate 5-2523.3
289 Marist 6-2726.2
290 Binghamton 8-2327
291 Manhattan 6-2525.2
292 Maryland-Eastern7-2225.1
293 Eastern Michigan6-2223.6
294 Dartmouth 5-2323.1
295 Sacramento State5-2122.1
296 Alcorn State 4-2422.6
297 Chicago State 4-2523.3
298 Towson 4-2624
299 SIU Edwardsville4-2120.8
300 UMBC 5-2525.2
301 Fairleigh Dickin5-2424.6
302 South Carolina S6-2225
303 Western Illinois4-2322.4
304 Louisiana-Monroe5-2424.8
305 Howard 6-2426.8
306 Toledo 3-2824.9
307 Jacksonville Sta4-2525
308 Radford 2-2421.1
309 Houston Baptist 5-2426.4
310 Texas-Pan Americ3-2523.8
311 Georgia Southern2-2723.8
312 Southern Univers3-2423.5
313 Central Arkansas2-2422
314 Centenary 1-2722.8

Key

Rank: Rank ignoring conference champions. Conference champions denoted by *.

SOS: Strength of schedule, quantified in expected number of wins.

Colouring

SHADED BACKGROUND: suggested teams for at-large bid.

RED FONT: Teams within margin of error.

BOLD UPPERCASE: Teams receiving bids.

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