NCAA Basketball - Rankings for Selection Sunday

2009/10 Season

This table contains the rankings for the 2009/10 season. These are based on regular season results, and compare each teams win-loss record with a benchmark expected number of wins for their schedule (which we call their strength of schedule). Rankings are based on the difference in win percentage and expected win percentage.

Teams which won their respective conference championship are marked, and the ranking numbers ignore conference champions. Thus this approach suggests teams ranked 1 through 34 should have been selected for the national championship. For comparison with the actual selection, the actual seeding of the 65 teams in the 2009 championship are given.

There is uncertainty with the estimate of the strength of schedule for each team, quantified by a margin of error. All teams whose win-loss record is within the margin of error of their strength of schedule should be considered as borderline for the championship.

Click on the first 200 teams to see their schedule, and a breakdown of the strength of schedule in terms of expected wins (probability of winning) per game.

2009/10 Season: Rankings for Selection Sunday

Margin of error: 0.7 wins.

RankTeamW-LSOSSeed
* Kansas 32-220.31
* Duke 29-519.51
* Kentucky 32-2231
* West Virginia 27-618.52
1 Syracuse 27-419.11
2 Purdue 26-518.94
3 Kansas State 25-718.22
4 Baylor 24-718.23
5 Villanova 24-718.22
* Ohio State 27-720.82
6 Texas A&M 22-917.35
* Temple 29-523.95
7 Wisconsin 23-818.74
8 Maryland 22-817.94
9 New Mexico 29-424.53
10 Georgetown 23-1018.53
11 Michigan State 24-819.95
* Butler 28-4245
12 Tennessee 25-8216
13 Pittsburgh 24-820.23
14 Texas 24-920.28
15 Florida State 22-918.59
16 Brigham Young 28-524.37
17 Vanderbilt 23-819.64
18 Virginia Tech 23-819.9
* Northern Iowa 28-425.29
19 Gonzaga 25-622.58
20 Marquette 22-1119.76
21 Xavier 24-821.86
22 UTEP 26-623.812
23 Richmond 26-823.87
24 Clemson 21-10197
25 Georgia Tech 21-121910
26 Wake Forest 19-1017.29
27 Oklahoma State 22-10207
28 Missouri 22-1020.310
* Saint Mary's 25-523.510
* Cornell 25-423.612
29 California 23-1021.58
* San Diego State 23-821.911
30 UNLV 24-822.98
* Washington 24-92311
31 Notre Dame 23-1122.26
32 Mississippi 21-1020.6
33 Florida 21-1220.810
* Old Dominion 26-825.911
34 Louisville 20-1219.99
35 Minnesota 21-132111
36 Mississippi Stat 23-1123
* Siena 27-62713
37 Arizona State 22-1022.2
38 UAB 23-823.2
39 Illinois 18-1418.3
40 Seton Hall 19-1219.5
41 Utah State 26-726.512
* Murray State 28-428.513
42 Rhode Island 23-923.6
43 South Florida 20-1220.7
44 Memphis 23-924
45 Miami (FL) 19-1320.1
46 Cincinnati 18-1519.2
47 Northwestern 20-1321.5
48 North Carolina S 19-1520.6
49 Wichita State 24-925.7
* Oakland 24-825.714
50 North Carolina 16-1617.8
51 Tulsa 22-1123.9
52 Texas Tech 17-1518.9
53 Connecticut 17-1519
54 St. John's 17-1519
55 William & Mary 21-1023
56 Marshall 20-922
57 Dayton 20-1222.5
* New Mexico State 21-1123.612
* Wofford 25-827.813
58 Louisiana Tech 23-1025.9
59 Charlotte 19-1221.8
60 Kent State 22-925
61 Harvard 20-722.7
62 Portland 19-1021.9
63 Virginia Commonw 22-925.1
* Sam Houston Stat 21-724.214
64 Arizona 16-1519.6
65 Alabama 17-1520.8
66 Virginia 15-1618.7
67 Saint Louis 19-1122.6
68 Iowa State 15-1718.9
69 Boston College 15-1618.7
70 USC 16-1419.6
* Morgan State 27-931.415
71 Illinois State 22-1025.9
72 Northern Colorad 23-726.8
73 South Carolina 15-1619
74 Michigan 14-1718.1
75 Nevada 19-1223.2
76 Iona 21-1025.2
77 Akron 23-1027.6
78 Coastal Carolina 24-628.2
79 Fairfield 22-1026.5
80 Nebraska 15-1819.8
81 Colorado 13-1617.2
82 Northeastern 20-1224.8
* North Texas 22-826.515
83 Georgia 14-1718.8
84 Wright State 20-1225.1
85 IUPUI 22-1027.2
* UC Santa Barbara 19-923.615
* Montana 20-924.814
86 Princeton 19-823.5
87 Weber State 18-1022.7
* Vermont 25-930.716
88 Morehead State 21-1026.3
89 Oklahoma 13-1818.3
90 Missouri State 20-1225.5
91 Southern Miss 16-1321.3
92 Oregon 16-1622
93 Rutgers 14-1719.8
94 Charleston 21-1127.1
95 Washington State 15-1520.9
* Houston 18-1524.613
96 Pacific 20-1126.2
97 Western Carolina 19-1125.1
98 Green Bay 19-1225.3
* Robert Morris 23-113015
99 Stony Brook 21-927.2
100 UCLA 14-1820.7
101 Appalachian Stat 20-1126.6
102 Providence 12-1918.6
103 South Dakota 18-923.8
104 Stephen F. Austi 19-925
105 Bradley 16-1522.8
106 Quinnipiac 23-930
107 Stanford 14-1821
108 Duquesne 15-1521.8
109 Auburn 14-1721
110 Oral Roberts 19-1326.3
111 Colorado State 15-1521.9
112 Western Kentucky 21-1328.8
113 George Washingto 16-1423.1
114 Jacksonville 19-1226.3
* Lehigh 22-1029.616
115 Creighton 16-1523.3
116 Milwaukee 17-1424.4
117 Oregon State 14-1721.4
118 Hofstra 18-1425.7
119 Belmont 19-1226.5
120 Detroit 19-1427
121 Arkansas 14-1821.8
122 Boston Universit 19-1326.8
* Ohio 20-1428.314
123 Troy 17-1224.1
124 George Mason 17-1424.6
125 Penn State 11-2018.7
126 Indiana State 16-1423.5
127 Long Beach State 15-1622.9
128 Utah 14-1721.9
129 Maine 18-1025.2
130 Buffalo 17-1224.5
131 Loyola Marymount 17-1525.3
132 Eastern Kentucky 18-1225.8
* East Tennessee S 19-1427.716
* Arkansas-Pine Bl 17-1525.516
133 St. Bonaventure 14-1622.1
134 Jackson State 18-1226.2
135 UCF 14-1722.5
136 Drexel 16-1624.8
137 Indiana 10-2118.6
138 Radford 17-1225.1
139 Rider 17-1626.3
140 Middle Tennessee 17-1325.5
141 Texas-San Antoni 16-1123.7
142 Seattle 17-1426
143 Niagara 18-1527.7
144 Iowa 10-2219.4
145 Eastern Illinois 17-1225.6
146 Campbell 17-1125.3
147 Cleveland State 14-1723.2
148 Denver 19-1328.6
149 Western Michigan 17-1526.6
150 Austin Peay 15-1524
151 LSU 11-2020.4
152 Southern Illinoi 14-1522.9
* Winthrop 17-1326.216
153 TCU 11-1920.6
154 Miami (OH) 14-1824.2
155 Lipscomb 14-1322.6
156 St. Peter's 16-1425.7
157 Texas A&M-CC 14-1523.5
158 La Salle 12-1821.8
159 Southeastern Lou 15-1223.9
160 Lafayette 19-1329.6
161 Saint Joseph's 11-2021.4
162 Massachusetts 11-2021.4
163 Mount St. Mary's 16-1526.5
164 Delaware State 14-1222.9
165 Idaho 13-1622.9
166 Ball State 14-1524
167 Southern Methodi 12-1722
168 Davidson 14-1524.1
169 Arkansas State 15-1425.1
170 DePaul 8-2318.9
171 Central Michigan14-1524.2
172 Eastern Michigan15-1525.6
173 Northern Arizona12-1421.2
174 Boise State 14-1725.1
175 San Jose State 13-1723.7
176 Valparaiso 12-1722.4
177 Bowling Green 13-1623.5
178 Fresno State 14-1825.6
179 Drake 14-1926
180 Montana State 13-1422.8
181 South Alabama 15-1525.9
182 Citadel 14-1624.9
183 IPFW 14-1524.6
184 Mercer 14-1725.4
185 San Francisco 10-1820.4
186 South Carolina S15-1426
187 Canisius 15-1727.2
188 Cal State Fuller13-1523.7
189 Loyola (IL) 11-1621.4
190 Tennessee Tech 13-1724.6
191 Texas Southern 15-1627.5
192 James Madison 13-2026.4
193 Florida Atlantic12-1623.4
194 Texas-Arlington 12-1422.7
195 Loyola (MD) 13-1725.4
196 Bethune-Cookman 14-1626.4
197 North Florida 12-1824.6
198 Prairie View A&M12-1423
199 South Dakota Sta12-1623.9
200 Portland State 11-1923.9
201 Sacred Heart 14-1526.5
202 Chattanooga 13-1826.4
203 Alabama State 13-1525.1
204 North Carolina-A12-1624.2
205 Texas State 11-1622.8
206 San Diego 10-2123.5
207 Air Force 8-2120.7
208 Louisiana-Lafaye12-1624.3
209 High Point 13-1525.4
210 Bucknell 14-1727.8
211 Liberty 12-1624.5
212 East Carolina 7-2119.5
213 New Hampshire 12-1725
214 Wyoming 8-2121.1
215 Georgia State 11-2025.1
216 Long Island 14-1728.1
217 Army 13-1525.7
218 Cal Poly 12-1926.4
219 Hampton 14-1829
220 UC Davis 12-1826.1
221 Manhattan 11-2025.6
222 UC Riverside 10-1722.8
223 Binghamton 11-1824.8
224 UC Irvine 12-1826.3
225 North Carolina-W9-2223.9
226 Hawaii 9-2023
227 Columbia 11-1724.5
228 Furman 11-1724.5
229 Northern Illinoi10-2024.5
230 Navy 13-1727.6
231 Towson 10-2125.3
232 Tulane 8-2222.8
233 Santa Clara 9-2123.9
234 Cal State Northr11-2126.9
235 Norfolk State 11-1925.9
236 Yale 11-1926.1
237 Western Illinois10-1723.6
238 Longwood 8-1821.2
239 Evansville 8-2122.7
240 Brown 9-2023.8
241 UMKC 10-1824.3
242 Lamar 10-1824.4
243 St. Francis (PA)11-1926.7
244 Tennessee State 9-2325.7
245 St. Francis (NY)11-1826.1
246 Winston-Salem 8-1721
247 Kennesaw State 10-2025.7
248 Louisiana-Monroe10-1925.2
249 UNC Greensboro 8-2324.4
250 Charleston South9-1722.8
251 Nicholls State 8-1821.8
252 Delaware 7-2423.6
253 American Univers11-2027.6
254 Central Connecti12-1828.1
255 Monmouth 12-1928.7
256 Jacksonville Sta9-1924
257 Savannah State 7-1518.9
258 Illinois-Chicago7-2222.7
259 Maryland-Eastern11-2128.3
260 North Dakota Sta9-1823.7
261 Samford 8-2023.2
262 Rice 7-2323.3
263 Colgate 10-1925.8
264 Fairleigh Dickin11-2128.5
265 Houston Baptist 12-2130
266 Eastern Washingt7-2122.8
267 North Carolina A8-2225.1
268 Youngstown State6-2222.1
269 Alabama A&M 8-1521.2
270 Idaho State 5-2220.5
271 Northwestern Sta7-1821.5
272 Utah Valley 8-1823.1
273 Holy Cross 9-2227.1
274 Cal State Bakers7-2224.1
275 Elon 8-2326.3
276 Hartford 8-2225.7
277 Pepperdine 6-2323.2
278 Florida Gulf Coa8-2125.2
279 Georgia Southern7-2325
280 Florida A&M 8-2226
281 McNeese State 7-2023.3
282 Sacramento State7-2124
283 Mississippi Vall8-2326.9
284 Pennsylvania 6-2223
285 Centenary 6-2122.6
286 USC Upstate 6-2323.8
287 Arkansas-Little 6-2223.4
288 Virginia Militar6-1921.8
289 Albany 7-2527.4
290 Central Arkansas6-2022.6
291 N.J.I.T. 7-2125
292 Southeast Missou6-2324.7
293 FIU 6-2526
294 Texas-Pan Americ6-2727.4
295 Stetson 5-2222.5
296 Gardner-Webb 5-2121.9
297 New Orleans 6-2224.3
298 Presbyterian 4-2623.7
299 Chicago State 6-2224.7
300 Fordham 2-2620.8
301 Southern Utah 5-2223.1
302 Coppin State 5-2223.1
303 Howard 7-2528.6
304 Grambling State 6-2124.4
305 North Dakota 5-2123
306 Southern Univers5-2425.3
307 North Carolina C3-2220.5
308 Toledo 3-2825.5
309 Dartmouth 4-2323.8
310 SIU Edwardsville2-1413.7
311 Wagner 5-2628.2
312 Tennessee-Martin2-2522.2
313 UMBC 4-2626.6
314 Alcorn State 2-2926.6
315 Marist 1-2925.8
316 Bryant Universit1-2926.4

Key

Rank: Rank ignoring conference champions. Conference champions denoted by *.

SOS: Strength of schedule, quantified in expected number of wins.

Colouring

SHADED BACKGROUND: suggested teams for at-large bid.

RED FONT: Teams within margin of error.

BOLD UPPERCASE: Teams receiving bids.

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