NCAA Basketball - Rankings for Selection Sunday

Results: 2007/8 Season

This table contains the rankings for the 2008/9 season. These are based on regular season results, and compare each teams win-loss record with a benchmark expected number of wins for their schedule (which we call their strength of schedule). Rankings are based on the difference in win percentage and expected win percentage.

Teams which won their respective conference championship are marked, and the ranking numbers ignore conference champions. Thus this approach suggests teams ranked 1 through 34 should have been selected for the national championship. For comparison with the actual selection, the actual seeding of the 65 teams in the 2008 championship are given.

There is uncertainty with the estimate of the strength of schedule for each team, quantified by a margin of error. All teams whose win-loss record is within the margin of error of their strength of schedule should be considered as borderline for the championship.

Click on the first 100 teams to see their schedule, and a breakdown of the strength of schedule in terms of expected wins (probability of winning) per game.

2007/08 Season: Rankings for Selection Sunday

Margin of error: 0.6 wins.

RankTeamW-LSOSSeed
* UCLA 30-318.81
* North Carolina 32-221.21
* Kansas 30-3201
1 Tennessee 28-419.12
2 Texas 27-618.52
3 Duke 27-518.92
* Memphis 33-124.61
* Wisconsin 29-421.23
4 Georgetown 27-519.72
5 Stanford 26-719.33
* Drake 26-4215
6 Washington State 24-818.94
* Pittsburgh 26-920.94
7 Indiana 25-720.58
8 Louisville 24-819.53
9 Connecticut 24-819.54
10 Michigan State 25-820.45
11 Notre Dame 24-719.75
* Butler 29-324.77
12 Xavier 27-622.63
13 Clemson 23-9195
14 Marquette 23-919.26
15 USC 21-1117.36
16 Vanderbilt 26-722.74
17 Purdue 24-820.86
18 Texas A&M 23-1019.89
19 Oklahoma 22-1119.26
20 West Virginia 23-1020.57
21 Brigham Young 27-7258
* UNLV 25-723.18
22 Baylor 20-1018.411
* Kent State 28-626.29
23 Gonzaga 25-723.57
24 Arizona 18-1416.610
25 Miami (FL) 21-1019.97
26 Kansas State 19-1117.911
27 Saint Mary's 24-62310
* Davidson 25-624.210
28 Oregon 18-1317.29
29 Arizona State 19-1218.4
30 Arkansas 22-1121.69
31 Nebraska 19-1218.7
32 Villanova 20-1219.712
33 Illinois State 23-922.8
34 Ohio State 19-1318.9
35 Mississippi Stat 22-10228
36 New Mexico 24-824.1
37 Mississippi 21-1021.3
* Western Kentucky 25-625.612
38 Syracuse 19-1319.6
39 South Alabama 25-625.810
40 Creighton 21-1021.8
41 Dayton 21-1021.9
42 California 16-1517
43 Florida State 19-1420.2
44 Massachusetts 21-1022.1
* Oral Roberts 23-824.213
45 Kentucky 18-1219.211
46 Virginia Commonw 24-725.3
47 Virginia Tech 19-1320.6
48 Florida 21-1122.6
49 Oklahoma State 16-1517.6
50 Saint Joseph's 21-1222.711
51 Minnesota 20-1321.7
* Temple 21-122312
* Cornell 21-522.614
52 IUPUI 23-724.9
53 Washington 16-1618.2
54 Stephen F. Austi 22-523.8
55 Houston 22-924.3
56 UAB 22-1024.4
57 Texas Tech 15-1517.3
58 Wake Forest 17-1319.3
59 Maryland 18-1420.6
60 Missouri 16-1618.8
61 Rhode Island 21-1123.9
62 Georgia Tech 15-1717.9
* Boise State 24-82714
63 Charlotte 20-1323.2
64 UC Santa Barbara 22-825
65 Robert Morris 26-729.4
66 San Diego State 19-1222.2
67 Providence 15-1618.3
* Cal State Fuller 23-826.414
* Portland State 21-924.316
68 Akron 23-1026.8
* UMBC 23-826.615
69 Southern Illinoi 17-1420.6
70 Seton Hall 17-1520.8
71 North Carolina S 15-1618.7
72 Wright State 21-1024.7
73 Illinois 16-1920.4
74 Virginia 15-1518.8
* George Mason 23-1027.312
* Belmont 24-828.215
* Siena 22-1026.213
75 Nevada 20-1124.1
* Georgia 16-1620.214
* San Diego 20-1324.513
76 Tulsa 20-1324.5
77 Ohio 19-1223.5
78 UTEP 19-1323.6
79 Cleveland State 19-1223.5
80 Utah State 23-1027.8
81 Alabama 17-1621.8
82 North Carolina-A19-923.2
83 Penn State 15-1619.8
84 Wagner 23-827.9
85 Miami (OH) 17-1522.1
86 Bradley 17-1522.1
87 Rider 23-1028.3
88 Utah 16-1420.8
89 Cincinnati 13-1818.1
90 Brown 19-923.6
* Winthrop 20-1125.113
91 Northern Iowa 17-1422.1
92 Iowa State 14-1819.4
93 Valparaiso 19-1324.4
94 Western Michigan20-1225.4
95 Cal State Northr19-1023.9
96 Boston College 14-1719.3
97 New Mexico State20-1425.8
* Austin Peay 24-1029.815
98 Duquesne 17-1322.2
99 Sam Houston Stat19-823.7
100 Southern Miss 15-1420.4
101 Pacific 20-1025.6
102 UNC Greensboro 19-1224.9
103 Missouri State 16-1622.2
104 Niagara 19-1024.7
* American Univers21-1127.315
105 Richmond 16-1421.9
106 Saint Louis 16-1522.2
107 South Carolina 14-1820.5
108 Northern Arizona19-1125.1
109 Indiana State 14-1620.2
110 Morgan State 21-1027.4
111 Georgia Southern18-1224.4
112 Auburn 14-1620.4
113 DePaul 11-1917.6
114 Old Dominion 17-1524.3
115 Colorado 11-2018.1
116 North Carolina-W20-1327.5
117 UCF 16-1523.2
118 Tulane 16-1523.2
119 St. John's 11-1918.1
120 Illinois-Chicago17-1524.6
121 Air Force 14-1420.6
122 North Texas 17-1123.8
123 LSU 12-1819.4
124 Chattanooga 16-1323.2
125 Loyola (MD) 19-1427.2
126 Iowa 13-1921
127 Green Bay 15-1522.5
128 Arkansas-Little 18-1125.4
129 Oakland 15-1422.4
130 East Tennessee S18-1326
131 Marshall 14-1421.3
132 South Florida 12-1920.1
133 Marist 18-1426.4
134 Appalachian Stat17-1325
* Texas-Arlington 17-1124.516
135 Jacksonville 17-1325.1
136 La Salle 14-1722.4
137 Michigan 10-2218.7
138 Lamar 15-1122.1
139 Hampton 18-1226.3
140 Rutgers 11-2019.7
141 TCU 13-1621.1
142 Middle Tennessee16-1524.7
143 Alabama State 17-1024.7
144 New Orleans 17-1325.6
145 North Dakota Sta14-1321.8
146 UC Irvine 17-1626.6
147 Fordham 11-1719.3
148 Weber State 15-1323.4
149 Colgate 18-1427.7
150 Santa Clara 13-1621.8
151 Milwaukee 13-1621.9
* Mount St. Mary's18-1428.116
152 Central Michigan13-1622.2
153 William & Mary 16-1626.2
154 Northeastern 14-1723.9
155 Charleston 16-1726.7
156 Sacred Heart 18-1428.4
157 Hartford 18-1629.1
158 George Washingto9-1717.5
159 Holy Cross 15-1424.8
160 Wofford 12-1621.7
161 Gardner-Webb 15-1625.8
162 Murray State 16-1326.1
163 Southeastern Lou13-1322.1
164 Louisiana-Lafaye14-1524.2
165 IPFW 11-1821.2
166 Fairfield 14-1624.6
167 Eastern Michigan14-1725
* Mississippi Vall15-1525.616
168 Bowling Green 13-1723.7
169 Vermont 16-1527.1
170 Lafayette 15-1525.8
171 High Point 13-1422.8
172 Wichita State 11-2022.3
173 Northwestern 7-2217.6
174 Yale 12-1521.9
175 Toledo 11-1922
176 Montana State 13-1523.3
177 Albany 15-1526.1
178 Tennessee-Martin15-1626.6
179 Delaware 14-1725.6
180 Texas-Pan Americ14-1324.1
181 Navy 16-1427.3
182 Wyoming 10-1820.6
183 Elon 13-1824.8
184 Florida Atlantic15-1827.6
185 Delaware State 12-1622.7
186 North Carolina A12-1622.7
187 Oregon State 6-2417.6
188 Utah Valley 13-1423.4
189 Florida A&M 13-1724.7
190 Stetson 15-1627.1
191 Northwestern Sta13-1724.8
* Coppin State 14-2027.416
192 Long Island 15-1526.8
193 Morehead State 13-1524.2
194 Montana 12-1623.2
195 Lehigh 14-1525.6
196 Quinnipiac 15-1527
197 Norfolk State 16-1528.5
198 Boston Universit14-1726.5
199 San Jose State 13-1926.1
200 Fresno State 12-1924.7
201 Liberty 13-1625
202 Pennsylvania 13-1825.8
203 Savannah State 10-1721.2
204 Columbia 13-1524.7
205 Southern Utah 11-1823.1
206 Binghamton 14-1626.5
207 Lipscomb 14-1626.5
208 Chicago State 8-1718.5
209 Cal Poly 11-1823.2
210 James Madison 13-1725.7
211 Tennessee State 13-1725.7
212 Western Illinois10-1821.9
213 Army 14-1626.8
214 East Carolina 9-1820.5
215 Pepperdine 10-2123.3
216 Loyola (IL) 10-1922.5
217 Towson 13-1826.3
218 Central Connecti14-1627
219 Hofstra 12-1825
220 Northern Colorad11-1622.8
221 Idaho State 10-1922.7
222 Iona 12-2026
223 McNeese State 10-1621.5
224 Evansville 8-2120.9
225 Hawaii 11-1924.5
226 Eastern Kentucky12-1624.7
227 Southern Methodi9-2022.3
228 Eastern Washingt9-1921.9
229 Samford 12-1625
230 Coastal Carolina10-1521.6
231 Buffalo 9-2022.5
232 Texas-San Antoni9-1721.1
233 Drexel 12-2027
234 Jackson State 14-2030
235 San Francisco 9-2123.1
236 Bucknell 12-1926.6
237 Nicholls State 9-2123.3
238 Alabama A&M 11-1523.4
239 Texas State 10-1622.4
240 UMKC 9-2123.3
241 St. Bonaventure 8-2222.4
242 Virginia Militar10-1522
243 Colorado State 6-2420.6
244 Centenary 9-2123.7
245 Manhattan 12-1927.3
246 Youngstown State7-2120.8
247 Troy 10-1924.3
248 Denver 10-1924.4
249 Central Arkansas10-1623
250 UC Riverside 8-2122.6
251 Texas A&M-CC 9-2023.7
252 Tennessee Tech 11-1926.3
253 Western Carolina9-2124.3
254 Winston-Salem 10-1824.4
255 South Carolina S12-2028.6
256 Arkansas-Pine Bl11-1826
257 Portland 8-2223.6
258 Southern Univers10-1824.6
259 Louisiana-Monroe7-2121.6
260 Florida Gulf Coa10-2126.3
261 Southeast Missou10-1925.2
262 Florida Internat8-2022.9
263 Radford 8-2022.9
264 Idaho 7-2122.2
265 Arkansas State 8-2023.2
266 Mercer 10-1925.8
267 Georgia State 9-2125.5
268 Dartmouth 9-1824.2
269 Northern Illinoi6-2221.8
270 UC Davis 7-2223.5
271 Fairleigh Dickin8-2023.9
272 Detroit 6-2322.6
273 Ball State 6-2423.2
274 North Carolina C3-2418.7
275 Kennesaw State 9-2026
276 Furman 7-2324.6
277 South Dakota Sta7-2123.4
278 Cal State Bakers8-2125.1
279 Harvard 8-2225.8
280 North Dakota 0-10.5
281 Prairie View A&M7-2224.4
282 USC Upstate 6-2222.8
283 New Hampshire 8-2024.8
284 Presbyterian 2-2518.2
285 Campbell 9-2026.4
286 Grambling State 7-1721.5
287 Bethune-Cookman 9-2026.6
288 Rice 3-2721.5
289 Loyola Marymount5-2624.3
290 Charleston South6-2022.3
291 Longwood 6-2223.7
292 Long Beach State6-2525.6
293 Texas Southern 7-2527.5
294 Louisiana Tech 6-2425.3
295 Canisius 6-2526.1
296 Stony Brook 7-2326.4
297 Maine 6-2324.9
298 St. Francis (NY)7-2225.9
299 Monmouth 7-2427.2
300 St. Peter's 6-2425.7
301 Princeton 5-2222.9
302 Houston Baptist 1-97.6
303 St. Francis (PA)5-2324.3
304 Howard 6-2628.1
305 Alcorn State 6-2326
306 Sacramento State2-2420.3
307 Eastern Illinois6-2225.9
308 Citadel 2-2420.8
309 Maryland-Eastern4-2827.6
310 Jacksonville Sta5-2225.2
311 North Florida 2-2623.8
312 N.J.I.T. 0-2925.9

Key

Rank: Rank ignoring conference champions. Conference champions denoted by *.

SOS: Strength of schedule, quantified in expected number of wins.

Colouring

SHADED BACKGROUND: suggested teams for at-large bid.

RED FONT: Teams within margin of error.

BOLD UPPERCASE: Teams receiving bids.

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